Les relations internationales et militaires de la Chine Gérard Hervouet CÉRIUM, le 12 juillet...

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Transcript of Les relations internationales et militaires de la Chine Gérard Hervouet CÉRIUM, le 12 juillet...

Page 1: Les relations internationales et militaires de la Chine Gérard Hervouet CÉRIUM, le 12 juillet 2007.
Page 2: Les relations internationales et militaires de la Chine Gérard Hervouet CÉRIUM, le 12 juillet 2007.

Les relations internationales et militaires de la Chine

Gérard HervouetCÉRIUM, le 12 juillet 2007

Page 3: Les relations internationales et militaires de la Chine Gérard Hervouet CÉRIUM, le 12 juillet 2007.

Plan de l’exposé

• Pérennité et ressentiments de l’Histoire• Tradition révolutionnaire et nationalisme• Une politique étrangère qui s’inscrit dans

la « Realpolitik »• Existe-t-il une « grande stratégie »

chinoise ?• Chine États-Unis : un jeu de provocations

esquivées ?• La Chine super-puissance militaire ?

Page 4: Les relations internationales et militaires de la Chine Gérard Hervouet CÉRIUM, le 12 juillet 2007.

Figure 3. Medium and Intercontinental Range Ballistic Missiles. China currently is capable of targeting its nuclear forces throughout the region and most of the world, including the continental United States. Newer systems, such as the DF-31, DF-31A, and JL-2, will give China a more survivable nuclear force.

Source : US Department of defense, Military power of the People’s Republic of China, 2007, p.19.Adresse : http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/070523-China-Military-Power-final.pdf

Page 5: Les relations internationales et militaires de la Chine Gérard Hervouet CÉRIUM, le 12 juillet 2007.

Figure 4. Maximum Ranges for China’s Conventional SRBM Force. China currently is capable of deploying ballistic missile forces to support a variety of regional contingencies.

Source : US Department of defense, Military power of the People’s Republic of China, 2007, p.23.Adresse : http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/070523-China-Military-Power-final.pdf

Page 6: Les relations internationales et militaires de la Chine Gérard Hervouet CÉRIUM, le 12 juillet 2007.

Figure 5. Comparison of Outside Estimates of PRC Military Spending. Government and research institutes have developed various – but often incompatible – methods to account for the PLA’s off-budget expenditures and sources of income, and other factors. Two different exchange rate models – official exchange rate and purchasing power parity indices – further complicate estimates of China’s defense spending. Estimates above are in 2003 U.S. dollars based on offi cial exchange rates unless otherwise indicated.

Source : US Department of defense, Military power of the People’s Republic of China, 2007, p.26.Adresse : http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/070523-China-Military-Power-final.pdf

Page 7: Les relations internationales et militaires de la Chine Gérard Hervouet CÉRIUM, le 12 juillet 2007.

Figure 6. Chinese Defense Budget and Estimates of Total Defense-Related Expenditures. The graphic depicts China official defense budget since 1994, and associated Defense Intelligence Agency estimates of actual defense expenditure.

Source : US Department of defense, Military power of the People’s Republic of China, 2007, p.27.Adresse : http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/070523-China-Military-Power-final.pdf