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Transcript of provfcst-dec2019v1 FR.pub - Publisher€¦ · 3(563(&7,9(6 3529,1&,$/(6 _ 'e&(0%(5 48e%(& ² (q...

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Québec - prévisions en brefVariation annuelle en % sauf indication contraire

2017 2018P 2019P 2020P 2021P

PIB réel 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.6PIB nominal 5.0 4.8 4.0 3.8 3.4Nombre d’emplois 2.2 0.9 1.7 1.1 0.2Taux de chômage 6.1 5.5 5.1 5.2 5.9Ventes au détail 5.5 2.9 2.4 2.2 1.8Mises en chantier (milliers d'unités) 46.5 46.9 49.9 47.5 43.5Indice des prix à la consommation 1.1 1.7 2.1 1.7 1.6

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Variation en % d’une année sur l’autre

Croissance démographique au Québec

Source: Statistique Canada, Économique RBC

58,6

50,4

64,5 65,6

59,0

66,0

60,456,7

52,849,4

54,6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Canada TNL IPÉ NÉ NB QC ON MA SK AB CB

Indice de diffusion, > 50 signifie qu'une majorité s'attend à une expansion, janv-oct 2019

Indice du Baromêtre des affaires des PME

Sources : Fédération canadienne des entreprises indépendantes, Économique RBC