La chine en Asie du Sud-Est: Birmanie / Myanmar

La Chine en Asie du Sud-‐Est: Birmanie/Myanmar

Source: h:p-‐//www.economist.com/node/17965601

IntroducEon

La Birmanie ou le Myanmar ?

IntroducEon

Avril 2014: Premier recensement en Myanmar depuis trente ans

IntroducEon Histoire

(en 20 secondes)

1948 2007 1988

Aujourd’hui

Wikipedia

Introduc2on Myanmar aujourd’hui

1.  L’économie 2.  La société 3.  Le système poliEque 4.  L’acteur internaEonal

#NLD #AungSanSuuKyi #TheinSein #violencesethniques #Rohingya #elecEons2015

La Chine était un pilier du régime autoritaire et devient profondément ancrée dans le système poliEque et économique

du Myanmar. Cependant, peut-‐elle maintenir sa posiEon exclusive en dépit de

la démocraEsaEon et l'ouverture du pays?

h:p-‐//www.africancrisis.org/images/Cartoon_ZAPIRO_Myanmar_junta_Chinese_support

Introduc2on

3) Quel avenir?

2) Les rela2ons entre la Chine et le Myanmar dans un contexte de démocra2sa2on.

1) Les réformes en Myanmar: un processus irréversible et complet?


A) Les facteurs intérieurs et extérieurs nécessaires à la démocraEsaEon

Wikipedia


B) Les limites des réformes

25%

h:p-‐//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/b/b5/MMarmyflag

2) Les rela2ons entre la Chine et le Myanmar dans un contexte de

démocra2sa2on A) Les conséquences du processus de réforme -‐> un réexamen

des relaEons poliEques et économiques avec le Myanmar

h:p-‐//www.islandbreath.org/2011Year/09/110930burma.jpg h:p-‐//www.bbc.com/news/world-‐asia-‐pacific-‐15123833

2) Les rela2ons entre la Chine et le Myanmar dans un contexte de démocra2sa2on

B) De forts enjeux stratégiques

h:p-‐//cdn.staEc-‐economist.com/sites/default/files/imagecache/full-‐width/images/print-‐ediEon/20130525_SRM934.png h:p://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2013/05/daily-‐chart-‐9

3) Quel avenir pour le Myanmar? A) Le Myanmar: ses défis et ses atouts •  me:re la fin a la guerre

civile •  l’amélioraEon des

condiEon de vie et la poursuite du développement durable

h:p-‐//www.courrierinternaEonal.com/files/illustraEons/arEcle/2012/03/1117/1117-‐MyanmarEthnie

Quel Avenir pour le Myanmar? B) un territoire qui cristallise les enjeux internaEonaux

h:p-‐//www.carto-‐presse.com/wp-‐content/uploads/2011/10/0203_Birmanie_V4 h:p-‐//www.taipeiEmes.com/images/2012/11/20/thumbs/P01-‐121120-‐304.jpg h:p-‐//wisdomquarterly.blogspot.fr/2011/07/india-‐trying-‐to-‐woo-‐burma-‐from-‐china

Conclusion

က"#ဇ%#တ'()တယ္။ Kyeizu (n ba de

Merci de votre a:enEon

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h:p://www.nyEmes.com/2012/03/31/world/asia/myanmar-‐reforms-‐set-‐us-‐and-‐china-‐in-‐race-‐for-‐sway.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0. •  David Cohen, „China’s Myanmar Problem,“ The Diplomat, January 17, 2013, accessed April 9, 2014, h:p://thediplomat.com/2013/01/chinas-‐myanmar-‐problem/. •  Brian P. Klein, “How Not to Invest in Myanmar,” Foreign Affairs, July 25, 2012, accessed April 8, 2014,

h:p://www.foreignaffairs.com/arEcles/137797/brian-‐p-‐klein/how-‐not-‐to-‐invest-‐in-‐myanmar. •  Philip Heijmans, “Big Year for Myanmar Economic Reforms,” The Diplomat, January 28, 2014, accessed April 5, 2014, h:p://thediplomat.com/tag/myanmar-‐economy/. •  Zachary Keck, “India and China Ba:le for MariEme Influence,” The Diplomat, July 31, 2013, accessed April 2, 2014,

h:p://thediplomat.com/2013/07/india-‐and-‐china-‐ba:le-‐for-‐mariEme-‐influence/. •  Aung Tun, “Myanmar’s “Look West” Policy: Is China Being Sidelined?” The Diplomat, June 26, 2013, accessed March 30, 2014,

h:p://thediplomat.com/2013/06/myanmars-‐look-‐west-‐policy-‐is-‐china-‐being-‐sidelined/. •  “Myanmar, Urban Development and Water Sector Assessment, Stragey, and Road Map,” Asian Development Bank, accessed April 4, 2014,

h:p://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/myanmar-‐urban-‐dev-‐water-‐sector-‐assessment.pdf. •  André et Louis Boucaud, “Une relaEon ambiguë avec la Chine,“ Le Monde Diploma(que, January 2012, accessed April 3, 2014,

h:p://www.monde-‐diplomaEque.fr/2012/01/BOUCAUD/47173,. •  Steve Finch, “Burma’s Forgo:en Dilemma,” The Diplomat, September 21, 2012, accessed April 4, 2014, h:p://thediplomat.com/2012/09/burmas-‐forgo:en-‐dilemma/1/. •  “China media: Burma gas pipeline,” BBC, October 21, 2013, accessed March 30, 2014, h:p://www.bbc.com/news/world-‐asia-‐china-‐24605706. •  Jeffrey A. Bader, “President Obama's Message to Myanmar: "We're With You and We're Watching You." Brookings, November 16, 2012, accessed March 30, 2014,

h:p://www.brookings.edu/research/expert-‐qa/2012/11/16-‐myanmar-‐bader-‐qa. •  Tridivesh Singh Maini, “Can India Catch Up With China in Myanmar?” The Diplomat, March 16, 2014, accessed March 20, 2014,

h:p://thediplomat.com/2014/03/can-‐india-‐catch-‐up-‐with-‐china-‐in-‐myanmar/. •  ChrisEna Larson, “China’s Oil Pipeline Through Myanmar Brings Both Energy and Resentment,” BloombergBusinessweek, February 4, 2014, accessed March 30, 2014,

h:p://www.businessweek.com/arEcles/2014-‐02-‐04/chinas-‐oil-‐pipeline-‐through-‐myanmar-‐brings-‐both-‐energy-‐and-‐resentment#r=rss. •  Yun Sun, “China’s IntervenEon in the Myanmar-‐Kachin Peace Talks,” Brookings, February 20, 2013, accessed March 25, 2014,

h:p://www.brookings.edu/research/arEcles/2013/02/20-‐china-‐myanmar-‐sun. •  Yun Sun, “China’s Strategic Misjudgment on Myanmar,” Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs 1 (2012): 73-‐96. •  David I. Steinberg, “The Problem of Democracy in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar, Neither NaEon-‐State Nor State-‐NaEon?,” Southeast Asian Affairs (2012): 220-‐237. •  “How Myanmar will connect up Asia,” The Economist, May 23, 2013, accessed April 2, 2014, h:p://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2013/05/daily-‐chart-‐9. •  Winston Set Aung, “Informal Trade and Underground Economy in Myanmar, Cost and Benefits,” Irasec, June, 2011, accessed 30 April, 2014, Informal Trade and Underground Economy in

Myanmar Costs and Benefits.pdf. •  Kyaw Yin Hlaing, “Understanding Recent PoliEcal Changes in Myanmar,” Contemporary Southeast Asia 34 (2012): 197-‐216. •  Sudha Ramachandran, “China-‐South Asia Strategic Engagement -‐ 3, Sino-‐Myanmar RelaEoship: Past Imperfect, Future Tense,” ISAS 158 (August 2012): 1-‐19. •  Maxwell Harrington, “Conference Report: China-‐Myanmar RelaEons: The Dilemmas of Mutual Dependence Georgetown University,” Journal of Current Southeast Asian Afffairs 1 (2012):

133-‐139. •  Yun Sun, “China, the United States and the Kachin Conflict,” S(mson Issue Brief 2 (January 2014). •  OECD (2014), “ExecuEve summary”, in OECD Investment Policy Reviews: Myanmar 2014, OECD Publishing. h:p://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264206441-‐4-‐en •  James O’Connor, “State Building, Infrastructure Development and Chinese Energy Projects in Myanmar,” in Les notes de l’Irasec n10, March 2011, IRASEC.

La chine en Asie du Sud-Est: Birmanie / Myanmar

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