BoF-05 (Part 1)

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    02009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco PublicBoF-05

    Environmental IPv6Monitoring Application

    BoF-05

    Patrick GrosseteteProduct Management and Customers Solutions

    [email protected]

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    12009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco PublicBoF-05

    Housekeeping

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    2008 Tata Communications, Ltd. All Rights Reserved

    CORPORATE

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    Are you ready for thecoming IP(v6!) traffic

    explosion?

    Yves Poppe

    Director Bus. Dev.IP Services

    Cisco NetworkersBarcelona, january 26th 2009

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    3CORPORATE

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    Member of the Tata Group

    125-year old largest private sector group

    $62.5 billion in revenues

    Acquired VSNL in February 2002 VSNL acquired Tyco in Nov 2004

    VSNL acquired Teleglobe in Feb 2006

    Teleglobe, Tyco, VSNL and VSNLInternational became TataCommunications on February 13th 2008

    Tata Consultancy Services (TCS)

    Major shareholder in Neotel

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    Transmission Control Protocol

    User Datagram Protocol

    Encapsulating Security Payload over IP or IPSec

    Generic Routing Encapsulation for tunnelingInternet Control Message Protocol

    The Internet as seen by 113 ISPs of the Global Fingerprint Sharing Alliance

    Real-time Internet statistics provided by ISPs participating in the global Fingerprint Sharing Alliance

    93%

    6%

    Approx. 20% of the worldwide Internet traffic

    70Gbps total approx.

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    The per meg revenue dilemma

    From a 5 meg mp3 file for 0.99$ .to a 1.5 Gb movie rental for 4.99$ to flat rate all you can eat starting at8.99$ per month

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    Where does telecom revenue come from?

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    GlobalRe

    venue

    Bn Mobile VoiceFixed Voice

    Mobile Data

    Fixed Data

    From: Nokia March 2006

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    0

    2,000

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    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    PB/mo

    nth

    Internet Video to TV

    Internet Video to PC

    VoIP

    Video CommunicationGaming

    P2P

    Web / Email

    Projected Internet traffic growth residential users

    Source: Cisco analysis of multiple sources, 2007

    42% CAGR 2006-2011

    PB: PetaBytes

    EB: ExaBytes

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    Consumer Networking is the fashion!

    13% 13% 10%

    21%15%

    11%

    9% 21% 33%

    22%21%

    20%

    35% 30%26%

    2005 2006 2007

    Internet Traffic Mix (PageViews)

    Total (Bn) 94 139 174

    Source: Nielson Netratings Youtube numbers: source: Commscore

    Content

    Communication

    Community

    Commerce

    Search

    November 2008: 97 million US

    viewers watched 5.1 billion

    videos on YouTube.com

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    Running out of IPv4 addresses: Crash landing or comet impact?

    If lack of addresses endangers internetgrowth and revenue imperatives, selfpreservation dynamics will prevail.

    Some ISPs will be trampled, some willride a new growth wave, some new ones

    could emerge.Some transitory turbulences but no majorservice discontinuities or meltdowns

    Address hoarding, reclamation, blackmarkets, multiple NAT levels and other

    transition gimmicks is just bad business.

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    The promises of IPv6

    Solves address shortage

    Restores p2p communication

    Mobility

    Much easier roaming

    Better spectrum utilization

    Better battery life!Security

    IPsec mandatory

    Multicast

    Better QoS (flow labels)

    Auto configuration

    Mobile Ad-Hoc networking

    Mobile networks

    Sensor networks

    Plug and Play networks

    Permanent addresses Identity (CLID)

    Traceability (RFID)

    Addressability!

    IP address based billing

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    11CORPORATE

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    HomeCarrieror ISP

    GlobalCarrieror ISP

    ForeignCarrieror ISP

    AS6453

    AS 6453 as tier 1 carriers carrier network

    OC48/192 MPLS backbone

    1500+ Gbps of Backbone Capacity

    Carries 700+ Petabits per month;

    Dual stack IPv4 and IPv6

    60+% year over year traffic growthCourtesy of User generated Contentand p2p: Youtube, Myspace etc

    Did an early IPv6 lead pay off? YES

    Ready for the upcoming IPv6 traffic

    component growth explosion

    IPv6 catalysts

    Exhaustion of IPv4 addresses

    Government push

    Mobile? VoIP? Grid? Cloud? Vista? Sensors? P2P?

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    Some pieces still wanting or missing?

    Comprehensive DNS support

    A great step forward was the IPv6 glue in 6 of the 13 roots

    More generalized support in DNS servers thoughout would help

    Inter-AS IPv6 routing on par with IPv4

    Google measurements (see RIPE 57 presentation by Lorenzo Colitti) show majordeficiencies in IPv6 routing leading to occasionally long RTT due to long paths.

    Generalization of dual stack inter-AS connectivity should be a priority

    IPv6 accessible content

    Still minimal but likely to improve. Google initiatives could set the stage. Lack of hardware accelerated load balancing for IPv6 often cited as problem

    Clarification or enhancement of some operational aspects:

    Security: Firewalls? Spam filters? Tunneling la Teredo? Network Management?

    Pervasiveness of IPv6 support in access boxes refresh cycle for DSLAMs and cablemodems, 3G, WiMax, where is Linksys?

    Next frontier: Mobile Operator, Sensor and Enterprise networks

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    2008 saw the inflection point for IPv6 traffic growth

    AMS-IX in Amsterdam

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    In conclusion : Before anything else plan for sufficient bandwidth

    Exploding bandwidth on the access side:

    ADSL, cable, WiMax, 3G HSDPA and HSUPA, FTTx, Power line access..

    Powerful new chipsets and access devices (handsets, laptops)

    Intel: new generation of low powered high performance chips that deliverbroadband internet access in your pocket

    approx 100 million smartphones sold in 2008!

    Bandwidth hungry applications

    Youtube, Facebook, Second life, Interactive Games, music & moviedownloads, IPTV, webTV, personal videoconferencing etc. etc.

    Buy sufficient IP transit from your upstream suppliers, peer at local IP exchanges forexchange of local traffic. Be proactive: buy and peer in both IPv4 and IPv6

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    If not done yet, you should urgently

    Audit your network for IPv6 upgradeability and mandate immediate IPv6 support inall IT procurements: services, products and applications

    Obtain an IPv6 address block from your RIR or LIR

    Start to deploy IPv6 as part of the upgrade cycle to avoid a capital expense surgewhen IPv6 traffic ramps up

    in order to be ready for

    The unavoidable IPv4 address exhaustion and IPv6 traffic surge

    Conform to the now prevailing IPv6 requirements in major RFQs from ISPs and

    Government and even more and more in major enterprise projects. Revenue streams induced by a profusion of addresses, enhanced mobility and

    security, ad-hoc networking, plug and play and IP convergence

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    www.tatacommunications.comBUSINESS

    16BoF-05

    These days all competitive advantagesare fleeting. So the smartest companiesare learning to create new ones again

    and again and again

    Robert D. Hof , Business Week,

    Whatever advantage you have, someone will take it away fromyou

    C.K. Prahalad, professor of Corporate Strategy

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    182009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco PublicBoF-05