Keith Briffa

Phil Jones

Tim Osborn

Climatic Research Unit staff

Climategate

The allegations – hiding uncertainty

“I've just completed Mike's Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years…to hide the decline.”

The allegations – gatekeeping

“If you think that [journal editor] Saiers is in the greenhouse skeptics camp, then…we could go through official…channels to get him ousted.”

…must get rid of [editor in chief] von Storch too…

The allegations – deleting data and email

“[McIntyre and McKitrick] have been after the CRU station data for years. If they ever hear there is a Freedom of Information Act … I think I'll delete the file rather than send to anyone.”

“Mike, Can you delete any emails you may have had with Keith [Briffa] re [the IPCC report]? Keith will do likewise…Can you also email Gene [Wahl] and get him to do the same? …We will be getting Caspar [Ammann] to do likewise. ”

And…

Cherrypicking data

Ad-hoc adjustments to data

Fabrication

Lawson calls for an inquiry

Phil Willis

Hiding the decline: WMO report, 1999

Hiding the decline 1999-2007

Journal bullying

No attempt was made to find out what scientists had said to journal editors

The Saiers affair was not examined

The committee accepted Jones’ word that he had

done nothing wrong.

The report

Committee issued complete “exoneration” of CRU

McIntyre’s evidence barely mentioned

Allegations of fraud and fabrication not examined.

Lord Oxburgh

Biased panel

Biased panel

Trevor Davies (UEA) to Lord Rees (Royal Society):Out of these 13 [candidates] we would hope to get…a range of 'attitudes' towards recent warming… from those who already see it as a problem…to those [who] will come to it with a questioning objectivity

The report

Which papers were looked at?

Controversial paleoclimate papers were not examined

Many papers examined were obscure and had not been criticised

Oxburgh said Royal Society had advised on choice of papers

Who chose the papers?

In fact they were chosen by the university itself

The scope of the inquiry

Doug Keenan

Michael Kelly

Sir Muir Russell

Philip Campbell

Geoffrey Boulton

Perversion of the peer review process

Failure to investigate the allegations

Didn’t find out what scientists had said to journals

Accepted Jones’ word

Hiding the decline

“Misleading”

Were emails deleted?

Russell:

“seen no evidence of any attempt to delete information in respect of a request already made”

Were emails deleted?

“For example Keith Briffa took home emails that were subject to FOI to ensure their safekeeping “

The second parliamentary inquiry

The second parliamentary inquiry

Oxburgh was unaware of Keenan’s fraud allegation

The second parliamentary inquiry

Oxburgh was unaware of Keenan’s fraud allegation

Oxburgh’s team only interviewed CRU scientists for around two hours

The second parliamentary inquiry

Russell didn’t ask if emails had been deleted

The second parliamentary inquiry

Russell didn’t ask if emails had been deleted

Russell admitted no investigation of serious FOI allegations

Climategate 2

5000 new emails published

Climategate 2

5000 new emails published. 200,000 still to come.

Themes of:

Politicisation of scienceHiding uncertainty Media corruptionScientific incompetence

Climategate 2

Peter Thorne (UK Met Office):

“I also think the science is being manipulated to put a political spin on it which for all our sakes might not be too clever in the long run.”

Climategate 2

Peter Thorne (UK Met Office):

“I also think the science is being manipulated to put a political spin on it which for all our sakes might not be too clever in the long run.”

von Storch:

“..discussion [of a critique] of the hockey stick was unwisely limited by IPCC… (Stupid, politicized action by IPCC, not [Mann et al’s responsibility] “

Climategate 2

Mann:

“I have been talking [with people in the USA] about finding an investigative journalist to investigate and expose McIntyre”

...a rattling good detective story and a detailed and brilliant piece of science writing."

Spectator

The Hockey Stick Illusion is one of the best science books in years…This book deserves to win prizes.

Prospect

Andrew Montford tells this detective story in exhilarating style.

Geoscientist

…a code-breaking adventure, an intriguing detective story, an exposé of a scientific and political travesty…

Quadrant